Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.410880 0.447891 0.488027 0.535013 0.588801 0.648803 0.721292
2025-11-02 0.341808 0.391281 0.448965 0.522105 0.613719 0.726572 0.879212
2025-11-09 0.301331 0.355890 0.422577 0.511831 0.630984 0.789005 1.022671
2025-11-16 0.272907 0.329886 0.402051 0.502766 0.644257 0.843778 1.162693
2025-11-23 0.251417 0.309649 0.385569 0.495292 0.656316 0.896049 1.307792
2025-11-30 0.239583 0.300467 0.382123 0.504321 0.691838 0.987461 1.536993
2025-12-07 0.226097 0.287645 0.372079 0.502061 0.709067 1.051808 1.735577
2025-12-14 0.214365 0.276175 0.362682 0.499291 0.724384 1.114677 1.949103
2025-12-21 0.201323 0.261870 0.347919 0.486515 0.721100 1.143294 2.099724
2025-12-28 0.196416 0.258773 0.349233 0.498904 0.761826 1.260701 2.491661
2026-01-04 0.190572 0.253846 0.347286 0.505577 0.793050 1.365702 2.900085
2026-01-11 0.183991 0.247374 0.342407 0.506714 0.813969 1.453467 3.305332
2026-01-18 0.175122 0.237211 0.331447 0.497098 0.814423 1.499744 3.624222
2026-01-25 0.166377 0.226840 0.319597 0.485057 0.808950 1.532504 3.925294
2026-02-01 0.158942 0.218092 0.309798 0.475783 0.807838 1.575725 4.295457
2026-02-08 0.152330 0.210285 0.301044 0.467618 0.807931 1.622199 4.716157
2026-02-15 0.146499 0.203419 0.293426 0.460882 0.810175 1.675099 5.212459
2026-02-22 0.143829 0.201406 0.293748 0.469018 0.846101 1.830008 6.359451
2026-03-01 0.139539 0.196584 0.289003 0.466983 0.858712 1.921988 7.302636
2026-03-08 0.135457 0.191909 0.284238 0.464487 0.869912 2.013452 8.390127
2026-03-15 0.130150 0.185020 0.275281 0.452967 0.858018 2.028399 8.984076
2026-03-22 0.128808 0.184565 0.277523 0.464138 0.903296 2.248798 11.676730
2026-03-29 0.126721 0.182773 0.277274 0.470150 0.936596 2.441642 14.804651